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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

New York, United States

Northern lights in Amherst

Answer

Amherst's OVATION cell reads 0% for 13:26 UTC. It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
0%
OVATION cell 43°N, 79°W
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:55 UTC

Tonight

Waiting on darkness

It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below.

OVATION cell
0%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 43°N, 79°W
Observed 11:55 UTC, forecast 13:26 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Not dark yet
Civil dusk 19:22, civil dawn 06:46
SunCalc at 42.9784, -78.7998
Clock times in America/New_York
Cloud
100%
cloudy; NWS period containing the retrieval time
NWS BUF grid 38,51
Valid 08:00 to 14:00 UTC
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Amherst sits at 42.98N 78.80W in New York, United States. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Amherst at 52.1 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 9.1 degrees closer to the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Amherst sits at 52.1 degrees geomagnetic. The lowest NOAA storm level whose typical viewing latitude reaches it is G3 (Kp = 7). By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead only at Kp 7.

"aurora has been seen as low as Illinois and Oregon (typically 50° geomagnetic lat.)"

NOAA SWPC, G3 Strong, Kp = 7

The nearest other Glow towns are Buffalo (12 km), Niagara Falls (26 km), Welland (37 km). Buffalo sits 0.1 degrees lower on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

Every night of 2026 at Amherst has some civil darkness; the shortest month sample still has 7.4 hours. Every evening of the year at Amherst clears Glow's dark-season bar of 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00. Amherst's longest night of the year, Dec 16, has 13 h 49 min of civil night.

Solar midnight at Amherst, when the sun is lowest, falls at 00:10 on local clocks on December 15 and 01:15 on June 15. That is 10 min after midnight in December and 1 h 15 min after midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Amherst the darkest hour sits near the middle of SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window in winter.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan13.5 h85%2.0 h
Feb12.3 h82%2.2 h
Mar11.0 h74%2.9 h
Apr9.5 h69%2.9 h
May8.1 h65%2.8 h
Jun7.4 h61%2.9 h
Jul7.7 h56%3.4 h
Aug9.0 h56%4.0 h
Sep10.5 h57%4.5 hbest
Oct11.9 h70%3.6 h
Nov13.2 h75%3.3 h
Dec13.8 h85%2.1 h

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Amherst with 13.8 hours of civil night and June the lightest at 7.4. Across the year Amherst gets 3,889 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Amherst, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 11.5 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Amherst at 69% across the year, from 56% in July to 85% in January. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Amherst averages 70%, against a median of 61% for Glow towns in United States.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives September the best score, 4.5 hours, ahead of August at 4.0. Amherst's equinox months score 2.9 in March and 4.5 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

From 1996 to 2025, the GFZ Potsdam record shows a 3-hour Kp of 7 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge over Amherst, on 1% of days. At Amherst's level the share runs from 0% in February to 2% in October, while storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 10%.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 7. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 1, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 26, in America/New_York dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Amherst have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 5 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Amherst has 11 h 16 min of civil night, 2 h 22 min of it with the moon down.

  1. 1

    66% lit

    2.4 h

  2. 2

    55% lit

    3.5 h

  3. 3

    43% lit

    4.7 h

  4. 4

    32% lit

    6.0 h

  5. 5

    22% lit

    7.3 h

  6. 6

    14% lit

    8.6 h

  7. 7

    7% lit

    9.8 h

  8. 8

    3% lit

    11.0 h

  9. 9

    0% lit

    11.6 h

  10. 10

    0% lit

    11.7 h

  11. 11

    3% lit

    11.7 h

  12. 12

    7% lit

    11.8 h

  13. 13

    12% lit

    11.2 h

  14. 14

    19% lit

    10.6 h

  15. 15

    27% lit

    9.8 h

  16. 16

    36% lit

    8.9 h

  17. 17

    45% lit

    7.9 h

  18. 18

    55% lit

    6.9 h

  19. 19

    64% lit

    5.8 h

  20. 20

    73% lit

    4.7 h

  21. 21

    82% lit

    3.6 h

  22. 22

    89% lit

    2.5 h

  23. 23

    95% lit

    1.3 h

  24. 24

    99% lit

    0.1 h

  25. 25

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 26

    98% lit

    0.0 h

  27. 27

    94% lit

    0.1 h

  28. 28

    88% lit

    1.0 h

  29. 29

    79% lit

    2.0 h

  30. 30

    69% lit

    3.3 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within United States

Among the 10 Glow towns in New York, Amherst ranks 5th by dipole latitude against a regional median of 52.1 degrees; Clay sits highest at 52.4. Among the 137 Glow towns in United States, Amherst ranks 48th by dipole latitude against a national median of 51.5 degrees; Fairbanks sits highest at 65.7. On December 15 Amherst gets 13.8 hours of civil night, 52nd longest of 137 in United States, where the median is 13.8.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Amherst?
Amherst sits at 52.1 degrees geomagnetic. The lowest NOAA storm level whose typical viewing latitude reaches it is G3 (Kp = 7). By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead only at Kp 7. Clear, dark sky over Amherst still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Amherst?
Every night at Amherst has civil darkness. Tonight has 11 h 16 min, and December 15 has 13.8 hours.
What is the best month for aurora in Amherst?
September, by civil night at Amherst times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Amherst in the dark months?
About 70% mean cloud amount over Amherst in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Amherst?
A 3-hour Kp of 7 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge overhead, occurred on 1% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record.
Why does this page point to Buffalo?
Amherst sits within 15 km of Buffalo with the same rounded dipole latitude, Kp and dark season, so Glow treats Buffalo as the main page for both.