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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

Minnesota, United States

Northern lights in Blaine

Answer

Blaine's OVATION cell reads 0% for 13:26 UTC. It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
0%
OVATION cell 45°N, 93°W
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:55 UTC

Tonight

Waiting on darkness

It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below.

OVATION cell
0%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 45°N, 93°W
Observed 11:55 UTC, forecast 13:26 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Not dark yet
Civil dusk 19:20, civil dawn 06:44
SunCalc at 45.1608, -93.2349
Clock times in America/Chicago
Cloud
2%
clear; NWS period containing the retrieval time
NWS MPX grid 109,81
Valid 11:00 to 13:00 UTC
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Blaine sits at 45.16N 93.23W in Minnesota, United States. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Blaine at 53.7 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 8.5 degrees closer to the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Blaine sits at 53.7 degrees geomagnetic. The lowest NOAA storm level whose typical viewing latitude reaches it is G3 (Kp = 7). By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead only at Kp 7.

"aurora has been seen as low as Illinois and Oregon (typically 50° geomagnetic lat.)"

NOAA SWPC, G3 Strong, Kp = 7

The nearest other Glow towns are West Coon Rapids (9 km), Minneapolis (20 km), Plymouth (24 km). West Coon Rapids sits 0.0 degrees lower on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

Every night of 2026 at Blaine has some civil darkness; the shortest month sample still has 7.0 hours. Every evening of the year at Blaine clears Glow's dark-season bar of 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00. Blaine's longest night of the year, Dec 20, has 14 h 2 min of civil night.

Solar midnight at Blaine, when the sun is lowest, falls at 00:08 on local clocks on December 15 and 01:13 on June 15. That is 8 min after midnight in December and 1 h 13 min after midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Blaine the darkest hour sits near the middle of SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window in winter.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan13.7 h61%5.3 hbest
Feb12.4 h57%5.3 h
Mar11.0 h61%4.3 h
Apr9.3 h62%3.5 h
May7.8 h63%2.9 h
Jun7.0 h59%2.9 h
Jul7.4 h49%3.8 h
Aug8.8 h50%4.4 h
Sep10.4 h51%5.1 h
Oct12.0 h61%4.7 h
Nov13.3 h66%4.5 h
Dec14.0 h69%4.3 h

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Blaine with 14.0 hours of civil night and June the lightest at 7.0. Across the year Blaine gets 3,865 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Blaine, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 11.6 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Blaine at 59% across the year, from 49% in July to 69% in December. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Blaine averages 59%, against a median of 61% for Glow towns in United States.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives January the best score, 5.3 hours, ahead of February at 5.3. Blaine's equinox months score 4.3 in March and 5.1 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

From 1996 to 2025, the GFZ Potsdam record shows a 3-hour Kp of 7 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge over Blaine, on 1% of days. At Blaine's level the share runs from 0% in February to 2% in October, while storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 10%.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 7. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 1, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 25, in America/Chicago dates. 14 of the 30 nights at Blaine have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 5 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Blaine has 11 h 15 min of civil night, 2 h 14 min of it with the moon down.

  1. 1

    65% lit

    2.2 h

  2. 2

    54% lit

    3.3 h

  3. 3

    43% lit

    4.6 h

  4. 4

    32% lit

    6.0 h

  5. 5

    22% lit

    7.3 h

  6. 6

    13% lit

    8.6 h

  7. 7

    7% lit

    9.9 h

  8. 8

    2% lit

    11.1 h

  9. 9

    0% lit

    11.7 h

  10. 10

    0% lit

    11.7 h

  11. 11

    3% lit

    11.8 h

  12. 12

    7% lit

    11.8 h

  13. 13

    13% lit

    11.4 h

  14. 14

    20% lit

    10.8 h

  15. 15

    28% lit

    10.0 h

  16. 16

    36% lit

    9.1 h

  17. 17

    46% lit

    8.1 h

  18. 18

    55% lit

    7.0 h

  19. 19

    65% lit

    5.9 h

  20. 20

    74% lit

    4.8 h

  21. 21

    82% lit

    3.6 h

  22. 22

    89% lit

    2.5 h

  23. 23

    95% lit

    1.3 h

  24. 24

    99% lit

    0.0 h

  25. 25

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 26

    98% lit

    0.0 h

  27. 27

    94% lit

    0.0 h

  28. 28

    87% lit

    0.9 h

  29. 29

    79% lit

    1.9 h

  30. 30

    68% lit

    3.2 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within United States

Among the 11 Glow towns in Minnesota, Blaine ranks 4th by dipole latitude against a regional median of 53.5 degrees; Hibbing sits highest at 56.0. Among the 137 Glow towns in United States, Blaine ranks 19th by dipole latitude against a national median of 51.5 degrees; Fairbanks sits highest at 65.7. On December 15 Blaine gets 14.0 hours of civil night, 31st longest of 137 in United States, where the median is 13.8.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Blaine?
Blaine sits at 53.7 degrees geomagnetic. The lowest NOAA storm level whose typical viewing latitude reaches it is G3 (Kp = 7). By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead only at Kp 7. Clear, dark sky over Blaine still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Blaine?
Every night at Blaine has civil darkness. Tonight has 11 h 15 min, and December 15 has 14.0 hours.
What is the best month for aurora in Blaine?
January, by civil night at Blaine times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Blaine in the dark months?
About 59% mean cloud amount over Blaine in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Blaine?
A 3-hour Kp of 7 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge overhead, occurred on 1% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record.
Why does this page point to West Coon Rapids?
Blaine sits within 15 km of West Coon Rapids with the same rounded dipole latitude, Kp and dark season, so Glow treats West Coon Rapids as the main page for both.