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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

Otago, New Zealand

Southern lights in Dunedin

Answer

Dunedin's OVATION cell reads 0% for 13:20 UTC. Civil darkness has begun. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
0%
OVATION cell 46°S, 171°E
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:49 UTC

Tonight

Darkness window open

Civil darkness has begun.

OVATION cell
0%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 46°S, 171°E
Observed 11:49 UTC, forecast 13:20 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Dark now
Civil dusk 20:17, civil dawn 06:36
SunCalc at -45.8742, 170.5036
Clock times in Pacific/Auckland
Cloud
n/a
Not used (outside the US): NWS covers US coordinates only, and Glow uses no substitute feed.
api.weather.gov gridpoints
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Dunedin sits at 45.87S 170.50E in Otago, New Zealand. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Dunedin at 49.3 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 3.5 degrees closer to the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Dunedin sits at 49.3 degrees geomagnetic. The lowest NOAA storm level whose typical viewing latitude reaches it is G4 (Kp = 8, including a 9-). By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead only at Kp 9.

"aurora has been seen as low as Alabama and northern California (typically 45° geomagnetic lat.)"

NOAA SWPC, G4 Severe, Kp = 8, including a 9-

The nearest other Glow towns are Oamaru (94 km), Gore (123 km), Wanaka (168 km). Oamaru sits 0.8 degrees lower on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

Every night of 2026 at Dunedin has some civil darkness; the shortest month sample still has 6.9 hours. Every evening of the year at Dunedin clears Glow's dark-season bar of 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00. Dunedin's longest night of the year, Jun 20, has 14 h 6 min of civil night.

Solar midnight at Dunedin, when the sun is lowest, falls at 01:33 on local clocks on December 15 and 00:38 on June 15. That is 1 h 33 min after midnight in December and 38 min after midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Dunedin the darkest hour sits late in SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan7.4 h74%1.9 h
Feb8.9 h71%2.6 h
Mar10.5 h70%3.2 h
Apr12.1 h70%3.6 h
May13.4 h70%4.0 h
Jun14.1 h68%4.5 h
Jul13.8 h67%4.6 hbest
Aug12.7 h71%3.7 h
Sep11.2 h70%3.4 h
Oct9.5 h72%2.7 h
Nov7.8 h75%2.0 h
Dec6.9 h76%1.7 h

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, June is the darkest month at Dunedin with 14.1 hours of civil night and December the lightest at 6.9. Across the year Dunedin gets 3,900 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Dunedin, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 2.7 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Dunedin at 71% across the year, from 67% in July to 76% in December. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Dunedin averages 71%, against a median of 66% for Glow towns in New Zealand.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives July the best score, 4.6 hours, ahead of June at 4.5. Dunedin's equinox months score 3.2 in March and 3.4 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

From 1996 to 2025, the GFZ Potsdam record shows a 3-hour Kp of 9 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge over Dunedin, on 0% of days. At Dunedin's level the share runs from 0% in January to 0% in October, while storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 10%.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 9. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 2, the new moon falls on Oct 11 and the full moon on Oct 26, in Pacific/Auckland dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Dunedin have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 2 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Dunedin has 10 h 14 min of civil night, 6 h 33 min of it with the moon down.

  1. 2

    63% lit

    6.5 h

  2. 3

    51% lit

    7.5 h

  3. 4

    40% lit

    8.1 h

  4. 5

    29% lit

    8.6 h

  5. 6

    20% lit

    9.0 h

  6. 7

    12% lit

    9.3 h

  7. 8

    5% lit

    9.6 h

  8. 9

    2% lit

    9.8 h

  9. 10

    0% lit

    9.8 h

  10. 11

    1% lit

    9.5 h

  11. 12

    4% lit

    8.3 h

  12. 13

    8% lit

    7.1 h

  13. 14

    14% lit

    6.0 h

  14. 15

    22% lit

    4.9 h

  15. 16

    30% lit

    4.0 h

  16. 17

    39% lit

    3.3 h

  17. 18

    48% lit

    2.6 h

  18. 19

    58% lit

    2.2 h

  19. 20

    67% lit

    1.8 h

  20. 21

    76% lit

    1.4 h

  21. 22

    84% lit

    1.1 h

  22. 23

    91% lit

    0.8 h

  23. 24

    96% lit

    0.4 h

  24. 25

    99% lit

    0.0 h

  25. 26

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 27

    98% lit

    1.1 h

  27. 28

    93% lit

    2.5 h

  28. 29

    85% lit

    3.7 h

  29. 30

    76% lit

    4.7 h

  30. 31

    66% lit

    5.4 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within New Zealand

Among the 4 Glow towns in Otago, Dunedin ranks 1st by dipole latitude against a regional median of 48.7 degrees, the highest of them. Among the 11 Glow towns in New Zealand, Dunedin ranks 3rd by dipole latitude against a national median of 48.4 degrees; Invercargill sits highest at 50.2. On December 15 Dunedin gets 6.9 hours of civil night, 9th longest of 11 in New Zealand, where the median is 7.1.

Questions

Can you see the southern lights in Dunedin?
Dunedin sits at 49.3 degrees geomagnetic. The lowest NOAA storm level whose typical viewing latitude reaches it is G4 (Kp = 8, including a 9-). By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead only at Kp 9. Clear, dark sky over Dunedin still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Dunedin?
Every night at Dunedin has civil darkness. Tonight has 10 h 14 min, and December 15 has 6.9 hours.
What is the best month for aurora in Dunedin?
July, by civil night at Dunedin times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Dunedin in the dark months?
About 71% mean cloud amount over Dunedin in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Dunedin?
A 3-hour Kp of 9 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge overhead, occurred on 0% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record.