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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

Komi, Russia

Northern lights in Ezhva

Answer

Ezhva's OVATION cell reads 0% for 13:26 UTC. It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
0%
OVATION cell 62°N, 51°E
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:55 UTC

Tonight

Waiting on darkness

It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below.

OVATION cell
0%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 62°N, 51°E
Observed 11:55 UTC, forecast 13:26 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Not dark yet
Civil dusk 17:49, civil dawn 05:04
SunCalc at 61.8128, 50.7283
Clock times in Europe/Moscow
Cloud
n/a
Not used (outside the US): NWS covers US coordinates only, and Glow uses no substitute feed.
api.weather.gov gridpoints
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Ezhva sits at 61.81N 50.73E in Komi, Russia. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Ezhva at 55.9 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 5.9 degrees farther from the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Ezhva sits at 55.9 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 6, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less.

"aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)"

NOAA SWPC, G1 Minor, Kp = 5

The nearest other Glow towns are Syktyvkar (17 km), Yemva (86 km), Koryazhma (198 km). Syktyvkar sits 0.2 degrees lower on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

From May 29 to July 13 the sun never reaches -6 degrees, so 46 nights in 2026 have no civil darkness at all. SWPC puts it plainly: "It must also be dark so during the summer months at auroral latitudes, the midnight sun prevents auroral observations." Glow's dark season, at least 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00, runs from July 31 to May 11 across New Year, 285 days in 2026. Ezhva's longest night of the year, Dec 21, has 16 h 27 min of civil night.

Solar midnight at Ezhva, when the sun is lowest, falls at 23:32 on local clocks on December 15 and 23:37 on June 15. That is 28 min before midnight in December and 23 min before midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Ezhva the darkest hour sits near the middle of SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window in winter.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan15.7 h76%3.8 h
Feb13.3 h70%4.0 hbest
Mar10.6 h75%2.6 h
Apr7.3 h69%2.3 h
May3.5 h66%1.2 h
Jun0.0 h70%0.0 h
Jul1.1 h63%0.4 h
Aug6.0 h69%1.9 h
Sep9.4 h76%2.3 h
Oct12.3 h90%1.2 h
Nov14.9 h89%1.6 h
Dec16.4 h82%3.0 h

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Ezhva with 16.4 hours of civil night and June the lightest at 0.0. Across the year Ezhva gets 3,355 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Ezhva, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 12.6 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Ezhva at 75% across the year, from 63% in July to 90% in October. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Ezhva averages 77%, against a median of 77% for Glow towns in Russia.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives February the best score, 4.0 hours, ahead of January at 3.8. Ezhva's equinox months score 2.6 in March and 2.3 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

From 1996 to 2025, the GFZ Potsdam record shows a 3-hour Kp of 6 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge over Ezhva, on 3% of days. At Ezhva's level the share runs from 1% in December to 5% in October, while storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 10%.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 6. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 2, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 26, in Europe/Moscow dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Ezhva have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 7 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Ezhva has 11 h 7 min of civil night, 0 min of it with the moon down.

  1. 2

    58% lit

    0.0 h

  2. 3

    47% lit

    1.4 h

  3. 4

    35% lit

    3.5 h

  4. 5

    25% lit

    5.5 h

  5. 6

    16% lit

    7.3 h

  6. 7

    9% lit

    9.0 h

  7. 8

    4% lit

    10.7 h

  8. 9

    1% lit

    11.8 h

  9. 10

    0% lit

    11.9 h

  10. 11

    2% lit

    12.0 h

  11. 12

    5% lit

    12.1 h

  12. 13

    10% lit

    12.2 h

  13. 14

    17% lit

    12.3 h

  14. 15

    25% lit

    12.3 h

  15. 16

    33% lit

    12.4 h

  16. 17

    43% lit

    11.5 h

  17. 18

    52% lit

    9.8 h

  18. 19

    62% lit

    8.2 h

  19. 20

    71% lit

    6.6 h

  20. 21

    79% lit

    5.0 h

  21. 22

    87% lit

    3.5 h

  22. 23

    93% lit

    1.9 h

  23. 24

    98% lit

    0.3 h

  24. 25

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  25. 26

    99% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 27

    96% lit

    0.0 h

  27. 28

    90% lit

    0.0 h

  28. 29

    82% lit

    0.0 h

  29. 30

    72% lit

    0.5 h

  30. 31

    61% lit

    2.5 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within Russia

Among the 9 Glow towns in Komi, Ezhva ranks 8th by dipole latitude against a regional median of 58.5 degrees; Vorgashor sits highest at 60.3. Among the 77 Glow towns in Russia, Ezhva ranks 66th by dipole latitude against a national median of 57.3 degrees; Nikel sits highest at 65.7. On December 15 Ezhva gets 16.4 hours of civil night, 44th longest of 77 in Russia, where the median is 16.7.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Ezhva?
Ezhva sits at 55.9 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 6, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less. Clear, dark sky over Ezhva still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Ezhva?
Civil night, the sun at -6 degrees or lower, is missing from May 29 to Jul 13. Tonight has 11 h 7 min of it.
What is the best month for aurora in Ezhva?
February, by civil night at Ezhva times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Ezhva in the dark months?
About 77% mean cloud amount over Ezhva in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Ezhva?
A 3-hour Kp of 6 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge overhead, occurred on 3% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record.