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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

Kymenlaakso, Finland

Northern lights in Karhula

Answer

Karhula's OVATION cell reads 0% for 13:26 UTC. It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
0%
OVATION cell 61°N, 27°E
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:55 UTC

Tonight

Waiting on darkness

It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below.

OVATION cell
0%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 61°N, 27°E
Observed 11:55 UTC, forecast 13:26 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Not dark yet
Civil dusk 19:23, civil dawn 06:40
SunCalc at 60.5216, 26.9313
Clock times in Europe/Helsinki
Cloud
n/a
Not used (outside the US): NWS covers US coordinates only, and Glow uses no substitute feed.
api.weather.gov gridpoints
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Karhula sits at 60.52N 26.93E in Kymenlaakso, Finland. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Karhula at 57.8 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 2.7 degrees farther from the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Karhula sits at 57.8 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 5, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less.

"aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)"

NOAA SWPC, G1 Minor, Kp = 5

The nearest other Glow towns are Kotka (6 km), Hamina (16 km), Kouvola (40 km). Kotka sits 0.1 degrees lower on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

From June 10 to July 1 the sun never reaches -6 degrees, so 22 nights in 2026 have no civil darkness at all. SWPC puts it plainly: "It must also be dark so during the summer months at auroral latitudes, the midnight sun prevents auroral observations." Glow's dark season, at least 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00, runs from July 26 to May 16 across New Year, 295 days in 2026. Karhula's longest night of the year, Dec 18, has 16 h 9 min of civil night.

Solar midnight at Karhula, when the sun is lowest, falls at 00:07 on local clocks on December 15 and 01:13 on June 15. That is 7 min after midnight in December and 1 h 13 min after midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Karhula the darkest hour sits near the middle of SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window in winter.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan15.4 h83%2.6 h
Feb13.2 h80%2.6 h
Mar10.7 h72%3.0 h
Apr7.6 h69%2.4 h
May4.2 h62%1.6 h
Jun0.0 h66%0.0 h
Jul2.7 h64%1.0 h
Aug6.4 h64%2.3 h
Sep9.6 h68%3.1 hbest
Oct12.3 h80%2.5 h
Nov14.8 h87%1.9 h
Dec16.1 h86%2.3 h

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Karhula with 16.1 hours of civil night and June the lightest at 0.0. Across the year Karhula gets 3,428 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Karhula, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 12.5 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Karhula at 73% across the year, from 62% in May to 87% in November. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Karhula averages 75%, against a median of 76% for Glow towns in Finland.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives September the best score, 3.1 hours, ahead of March at 3.0. Karhula's equinox months score 3.0 in March and 3.1 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

From 1996 to 2025, the GFZ Potsdam record shows a 3-hour Kp of 5 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge over Karhula, on 10% of days. At Karhula's level the share runs from 5% in December to 14% in September, while storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 10%.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 5. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 2, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 26, in Europe/Helsinki dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Karhula have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 6 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Karhula has 11 h 9 min of civil night, 24 min of it with the moon down.

  1. 2

    58% lit

    0.4 h

  2. 3

    47% lit

    2.0 h

  3. 4

    35% lit

    3.9 h

  4. 5

    25% lit

    5.7 h

  5. 6

    16% lit

    7.5 h

  6. 7

    9% lit

    9.2 h

  7. 8

    4% lit

    10.8 h

  8. 9

    1% lit

    11.8 h

  9. 10

    0% lit

    11.9 h

  10. 11

    2% lit

    12.0 h

  11. 12

    5% lit

    12.1 h

  12. 13

    10% lit

    12.1 h

  13. 14

    17% lit

    12.2 h

  14. 15

    25% lit

    12.3 h

  15. 16

    33% lit

    12.3 h

  16. 17

    43% lit

    10.9 h

  17. 18

    52% lit

    9.3 h

  18. 19

    62% lit

    7.8 h

  19. 20

    71% lit

    6.3 h

  20. 21

    79% lit

    4.8 h

  21. 22

    87% lit

    3.4 h

  22. 23

    93% lit

    1.8 h

  23. 24

    98% lit

    0.2 h

  24. 25

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  25. 26

    99% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 27

    96% lit

    0.0 h

  27. 28

    90% lit

    0.0 h

  28. 29

    81% lit

    0.0 h

  29. 30

    72% lit

    1.0 h

  30. 31

    61% lit

    2.8 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within Finland

Among the 4 Glow towns in Kymenlaakso, Karhula ranks 3rd by dipole latitude against a regional median of 57.8 degrees; Kouvola sits highest at 58.1. Among the 65 Glow towns in Finland, Karhula ranks 62nd by dipole latitude against a national median of 59.0 degrees; Rovaniemi sits highest at 63.6. On December 15 Karhula gets 16.1 hours of civil night, 47th longest of 65 in Finland, where the median is 16.3.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Karhula?
Karhula sits at 57.8 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 5, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less. Clear, dark sky over Karhula still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Karhula?
Civil night, the sun at -6 degrees or lower, is missing from Jun 10 to Jul 1. Tonight has 11 h 9 min of it.
What is the best month for aurora in Karhula?
September, by civil night at Karhula times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Karhula in the dark months?
About 75% mean cloud amount over Karhula in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Karhula?
A 3-hour Kp of 5 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge overhead, occurred on 10% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record.