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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

Southern Peninsula, Iceland

Northern lights in Keflavík

Answer

Keflavík's OVATION cell reads 0% for 13:20 UTC. It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
0%
OVATION cell 64°N, 23°W
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:49 UTC

Tonight

Waiting on darkness

It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below.

OVATION cell
0%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 64°N, 23°W
Observed 11:49 UTC, forecast 13:20 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Not dark yet
Civil dusk 19:42, civil dawn 06:57
SunCalc at 64.0049, -22.5624
Clock times in Atlantic/Reykjavik
Cloud
n/a
Not used (outside the US): NWS covers US coordinates only, and Glow uses no substitute feed.
api.weather.gov gridpoints
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Keflavík sits at 64.00N 22.56W in Southern Peninsula, Iceland. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Keflavík at 68.8 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 4.8 degrees closer to the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Keflavík sits at 68.8 degrees geomagnetic, inside SWPC's 60 to 75 degree band, where aurora can be seen on more than half of all nights. No storm is needed: by SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 0.

"The best place to observe the aurora is under an oval shaped region between the north and south latitudes of about 60 and 75 degrees. At these polar latitudes, the aurora can be observed more than half of the nights of a given year."

NOAA SWPC, Aurora

The nearest other Glow towns are Reykjanesbær (1 km), Hafnarfjörður (31 km), Reykjavík (36 km). Reykjanesbær sits 0.0 degrees lower on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

From May 17 to July 24 the sun never reaches -6 degrees, so 69 nights in 2026 have no civil darkness at all. SWPC puts it plainly: "It must also be dark so during the summer months at auroral latitudes, the midnight sun prevents auroral observations." Glow's dark season, at least 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00, runs from August 7 to May 4 across New Year, 271 days in 2026. Keflavík's longest night of the year, Dec 19, has 17 h of civil night.

Solar midnight at Keflavík, when the sun is lowest, falls at 01:25 on local clocks on December 15 and 01:31 on June 15. That is 1 h 25 min after midnight in December and 1 h 31 min after midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Keflavík the darkest hour sits late in SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan16.1 h84%2.6 h
Feb13.4 h83%2.3 h
Mar10.5 h82%1.9 h
Apr6.8 h81%1.3 h
May1.5 h77%0.3 h
Jun0.0 h78%0.0 h
Jul0.0 h80%0.0 h
Aug5.3 h78%1.2 h
Sep9.2 h81%1.7 h
Oct12.4 h81%2.4 h
Nov15.3 h83%2.6 h
Dec16.9 h82%3.1 hbest

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Keflavík with 17.0 hours of civil night and June the lightest at 0.0. Across the year Keflavík gets 3,270 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Keflavík, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 12.7 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Keflavík at 81% across the year, from 77% in May to 84% in January. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Keflavík averages 82%, against a median of 82% for Glow towns in Iceland.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives December the best score, 3.1 hours, ahead of November at 2.6. Keflavík's equinox months score 1.9 in March and 1.7 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

Quiet levels are enough at Keflavík: a 3-hour Kp of 0 or more occurred on 100% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record. The days that matter are storm days, Kp 5 or more: 10% of all days, most often in September.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 5. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 2, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 26, in Atlantic/Reykjavik dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Keflavík have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 6 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Keflavík has 11 h 6 min of civil night, 0 min of it with the moon down.

  1. 2

    57% lit

    0.0 h

  2. 3

    45% lit

    0.5 h

  3. 4

    34% lit

    3.4 h

  4. 5

    24% lit

    5.5 h

  5. 6

    15% lit

    7.5 h

  6. 7

    8% lit

    9.3 h

  7. 8

    3% lit

    11.1 h

  8. 9

    1% lit

    11.8 h

  9. 10

    0% lit

    11.9 h

  10. 11

    2% lit

    12.0 h

  11. 12

    6% lit

    12.1 h

  12. 13

    11% lit

    12.2 h

  13. 14

    18% lit

    12.3 h

  14. 15

    26% lit

    12.4 h

  15. 16

    35% lit

    12.5 h

  16. 17

    44% lit

    12.7 h

  17. 18

    53% lit

    10.1 h

  18. 19

    63% lit

    8.2 h

  19. 20

    72% lit

    6.5 h

  20. 21

    80% lit

    4.9 h

  21. 22

    88% lit

    3.3 h

  22. 23

    94% lit

    1.6 h

  23. 24

    98% lit

    0.0 h

  24. 25

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  25. 26

    99% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 27

    95% lit

    0.0 h

  27. 28

    89% lit

    0.0 h

  28. 29

    81% lit

    0.0 h

  29. 30

    71% lit

    0.0 h

  30. 31

    60% lit

    2.4 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within Iceland

Among the 2 Glow towns in Southern Peninsula, Keflavík ranks 1st by dipole latitude against a regional median of 68.8 degrees, the highest of them. Among the 5 Glow towns in Iceland, Keflavík ranks 3rd by dipole latitude against a national median of 68.8 degrees; Akureyri sits highest at 69.7. On December 15 Keflavík gets 17.0 hours of civil night, 2nd longest of 5 in Iceland, where the median is 17.0.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Keflavík?
Keflavík sits at 68.8 degrees geomagnetic, inside SWPC's 60 to 75 degree band, where aurora can be seen on more than half of all nights. No storm is needed: by SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 0. Clear, dark sky over Keflavík still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Keflavík?
Civil night, the sun at -6 degrees or lower, is missing from May 17 to Jul 24. Tonight has 11 h 6 min of it.
What is the best month for aurora in Keflavík?
December, by civil night at Keflavík times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Keflavík in the dark months?
About 82% mean cloud amount over Keflavík in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Keflavík?
Almost always: the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 0. Storm days, Kp 5 or more, made up 10% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ record.
Why does this page point to Reykjanesbær?
Keflavík sits within 15 km of Reykjanesbær with the same rounded dipole latitude, Kp and dark season, so Glow treats Reykjanesbær as the main page for both.