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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

Murmansk, Russia

Northern lights in Polyarnyy

Answer

Polyarnyy's OVATION cell reads 1% for 13:26 UTC. It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
1%
OVATION cell 69°N, 33°E
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:55 UTC

Tonight

Waiting on darkness

It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below.

OVATION cell
1%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 69°N, 33°E
Observed 11:55 UTC, forecast 13:26 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Not dark yet
Civil dusk 19:03, civil dawn 06:09
SunCalc at 69.2028, 33.4370
Clock times in Europe/Moscow
Cloud
n/a
Not used (outside the US): NWS covers US coordinates only, and Glow uses no substitute feed.
api.weather.gov gridpoints
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Polyarnyy sits at 69.20N 33.44E in Murmansk, Russia. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Polyarnyy at 65.1 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 4.1 degrees farther from the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Polyarnyy sits at 65.1 degrees geomagnetic, inside SWPC's 60 to 75 degree band, where aurora can be seen on more than half of all nights. No storm is needed: by SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 1.

"The best place to observe the aurora is under an oval shaped region between the north and south latitudes of about 60 and 75 degrees. At these polar latitudes, the aurora can be observed more than half of the nights of a given year."

NOAA SWPC, Aurora

The nearest other Glow towns are Severomorsk (15 km), Murmansk (29 km), Zapolyarnyy (106 km). Severomorsk sits 0.1 degrees lower on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

From April 28 to August 13 the sun never reaches -6 degrees, so 108 nights in 2026 have no civil darkness at all. SWPC puts it plainly: "It must also be dark so during the summer months at auroral latitudes, the midnight sun prevents auroral observations." Glow's dark season, at least 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00, runs from August 22 to April 19 across New Year, 241 days in 2026. Polyarnyy's longest night of the year, Dec 21, has 19 h 2 min of civil night.

Solar midnight at Polyarnyy, when the sun is lowest, falls at 00:41 on local clocks on December 15 and 00:46 on June 15. That is 41 min after midnight in December and 46 min after midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Polyarnyy the darkest hour sits near the middle of SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window in winter.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan17.6 h83%3.0 hbest
Feb14.0 h82%2.5 h
Mar10.2 h81%1.9 h
Apr5.1 h82%0.9 h
May0.0 h83%0.0 h
Jun0.0 h83%0.0 h
Jul0.0 h77%0.0 h
Aug1.7 h80%0.3 h
Sep8.5 h82%1.5 h
Oct12.7 h88%1.5 h
Nov16.5 h85%2.5 h
Dec18.9 h85%2.8 h

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Polyarnyy with 18.9 hours of civil night and May the lightest at 0.0. Across the year Polyarnyy gets 3,178 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Polyarnyy, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 13.3 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Polyarnyy at 83% across the year, from 77% in July to 88% in October. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Polyarnyy averages 84%, against a median of 77% for Glow towns in Russia.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives January the best score, 3.0 hours, ahead of December at 2.8. Polyarnyy's equinox months score 1.9 in March and 1.5 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

Quiet levels are enough at Polyarnyy: a 3-hour Kp of 1 or more occurred on 96% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record. The days that matter are storm days, Kp 5 or more: 10% of all days, most often in September.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 5. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 2, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 26, in Europe/Moscow dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Polyarnyy have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 7 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Polyarnyy has 10 h 55 min of civil night, 0 min of it with the moon down.

  1. 2

    58% lit

    0.0 h

  2. 3

    47% lit

    0.0 h

  3. 4

    35% lit

    0.0 h

  4. 5

    25% lit

    3.9 h

  5. 6

    16% lit

    6.6 h

  6. 7

    9% lit

    8.8 h

  7. 8

    4% lit

    10.9 h

  8. 9

    1% lit

    11.8 h

  9. 10

    0% lit

    12.0 h

  10. 11

    2% lit

    12.1 h

  11. 12

    5% lit

    12.3 h

  12. 13

    10% lit

    12.4 h

  13. 14

    17% lit

    12.5 h

  14. 15

    25% lit

    12.7 h

  15. 16

    33% lit

    12.8 h

  16. 17

    43% lit

    12.9 h

  17. 18

    52% lit

    13.0 h

  18. 19

    62% lit

    11.9 h

  19. 20

    71% lit

    7.8 h

  20. 21

    79% lit

    5.8 h

  21. 22

    87% lit

    3.9 h

  22. 23

    93% lit

    2.0 h

  23. 24

    98% lit

    0.0 h

  24. 25

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  25. 26

    99% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 27

    96% lit

    0.0 h

  27. 28

    90% lit

    0.0 h

  28. 29

    82% lit

    0.0 h

  29. 30

    72% lit

    0.0 h

  30. 31

    61% lit

    0.0 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within Russia

Among the 11 Glow towns in Murmansk, Polyarnyy ranks 3rd by dipole latitude against a regional median of 64.1 degrees; Nikel sits highest at 65.7. Among the 78 Glow towns in Russia, Polyarnyy ranks 3rd by dipole latitude against a national median of 57.4 degrees; Nikel sits highest at 65.7. On December 15 Polyarnyy gets 18.9 hours of civil night, 7th longest of 78 in Russia, where the median is 16.8.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Polyarnyy?
Polyarnyy sits at 65.1 degrees geomagnetic, inside SWPC's 60 to 75 degree band, where aurora can be seen on more than half of all nights. No storm is needed: by SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 1. Clear, dark sky over Polyarnyy still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Polyarnyy?
Civil night, the sun at -6 degrees or lower, is missing from Apr 28 to Aug 13. Tonight has 10 h 55 min of it.
What is the best month for aurora in Polyarnyy?
January, by civil night at Polyarnyy times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Polyarnyy in the dark months?
About 84% mean cloud amount over Polyarnyy in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Polyarnyy?
Almost always: the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 1. Storm days, Kp 5 or more, made up 10% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ record.
Why does this page point to Severomorsk?
Polyarnyy sits within 15 km of Severomorsk with the same rounded dipole latitude, Kp and dark season, so Glow treats Severomorsk as the main page for both.