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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

Stockholm, Sweden

Northern lights in Södertälje

Answer

Södertälje's OVATION cell reads 0% for 13:20 UTC. It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
0%
OVATION cell 59°N, 18°E
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:49 UTC

Tonight

Waiting on darkness

It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below.

OVATION cell
0%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 59°N, 18°E
Observed 11:49 UTC, forecast 13:20 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Not dark yet
Civil dusk 19:00, civil dawn 06:18
SunCalc at 59.1955, 17.6253
Clock times in Europe/Stockholm
Cloud
n/a
Not used (outside the US): NWS covers US coordinates only, and Glow uses no substitute feed.
api.weather.gov gridpoints
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Södertälje sits at 59.20N 17.63E in Stockholm, Sweden. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Södertälje at 57.9 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 1.3 degrees farther from the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Södertälje sits at 57.9 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 5, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less.

"aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)"

NOAA SWPC, G1 Minor, Kp = 5

The nearest other Glow towns are Stockholm (29 km), Haninge (30 km), Sollentuna (32 km). Stockholm sits 0.1 degrees higher on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

Every night of 2026 at Södertälje has some civil darkness; the shortest month sample still has 2.1 hours. Glow's dark season, at least 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00, runs from July 20 to May 22 across New Year, 307 days in 2026. Södertälje's longest night of the year, Dec 18, has 15 h 53 min of civil night.

Solar midnight at Södertälje, when the sun is lowest, falls at 23:45 on local clocks on December 15 and 00:50 on June 15. That is 15 min before midnight in December and 50 min after midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Södertälje the darkest hour sits near the middle of SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window in winter.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan15.2 h85%2.3 h
Feb13.1 h84%2.1 h
Mar10.7 h76%2.6 h
Apr7.8 h70%2.3 h
May4.8 h69%1.5 h
Jun2.1 h69%0.7 h
Jul3.5 h68%1.2 h
Aug6.7 h70%2.0 h
Sep9.7 h73%2.6 h
Oct12.3 h77%2.8 h
Nov14.6 h80%2.9 hbest
Dec15.8 h83%2.7 h

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Södertälje with 15.9 hours of civil night and June the lightest at 2.1. Across the year Södertälje gets 3,534 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Södertälje, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 12.4 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Södertälje at 75% across the year, from 68% in July to 85% in January. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Södertälje averages 77%, against a median of 75% for Glow towns in Sweden.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives November the best score, 2.9 hours, ahead of October at 2.8. Södertälje's equinox months score 2.6 in March and 2.6 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

From 1996 to 2025, the GFZ Potsdam record shows a 3-hour Kp of 5 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge over Södertälje, on 10% of days. At Södertälje's level the share runs from 5% in December to 14% in September, while storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 10%.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 5. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 2, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 26, in Europe/Stockholm dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Södertälje have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 6 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Södertälje has 11 h 10 min of civil night, 53 min of it with the moon down.

  1. 2

    57% lit

    0.9 h

  2. 3

    46% lit

    2.4 h

  3. 4

    35% lit

    4.2 h

  4. 5

    25% lit

    5.9 h

  5. 6

    16% lit

    7.6 h

  6. 7

    8% lit

    9.3 h

  7. 8

    3% lit

    10.8 h

  8. 9

    1% lit

    11.8 h

  9. 10

    0% lit

    11.8 h

  10. 11

    2% lit

    11.9 h

  11. 12

    5% lit

    12.0 h

  12. 13

    11% lit

    12.1 h

  13. 14

    17% lit

    12.2 h

  14. 15

    25% lit

    12.3 h

  15. 16

    34% lit

    11.7 h

  16. 17

    43% lit

    10.5 h

  17. 18

    52% lit

    9.0 h

  18. 19

    62% lit

    7.6 h

  19. 20

    71% lit

    6.1 h

  20. 21

    80% lit

    4.7 h

  21. 22

    87% lit

    3.3 h

  22. 23

    94% lit

    1.8 h

  23. 24

    98% lit

    0.2 h

  24. 25

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  25. 26

    99% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 27

    95% lit

    0.0 h

  27. 28

    89% lit

    0.0 h

  28. 29

    81% lit

    0.0 h

  29. 30

    71% lit

    1.3 h

  30. 31

    60% lit

    3.1 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within Sweden

Among the 8 Glow towns in Stockholm, Södertälje ranks 7th by dipole latitude against a regional median of 58.0 degrees; Märsta sits highest at 58.3. Among the 74 Glow towns in Sweden, Södertälje ranks 37th by dipole latitude against a national median of 57.9 degrees; Kiruna sits highest at 65.7. On December 15 Södertälje gets 15.9 hours of civil night, 19th longest of 74 in Sweden, where the median is 15.8.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Södertälje?
Södertälje sits at 57.9 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 5, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less. Clear, dark sky over Södertälje still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Södertälje?
Every night at Södertälje has civil darkness. Tonight has 11 h 10 min, and December 15 has 15.9 hours.
What is the best month for aurora in Södertälje?
November, by civil night at Södertälje times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Södertälje in the dark months?
About 77% mean cloud amount over Södertälje in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Södertälje?
A 3-hour Kp of 5 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge overhead, occurred on 10% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record.