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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

Tartu, Estonia

Northern lights in Tartu

Answer

Tartu's OVATION cell reads 0% for 13:26 UTC. It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
0%
OVATION cell 58°N, 27°E
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:55 UTC

Tonight

Waiting on darkness

It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below.

OVATION cell
0%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 58°N, 27°E
Observed 11:55 UTC, forecast 13:26 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Not dark yet
Civil dusk 19:23, civil dawn 06:42
SunCalc at 58.3806, 26.7251
Clock times in Europe/Tallinn
Cloud
n/a
Not used (outside the US): NWS covers US coordinates only, and Glow uses no substitute feed.
api.weather.gov gridpoints
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Tartu sits at 58.38N 26.73E in Tartu, Estonia. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Tartu at 55.8 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 2.6 degrees farther from the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Tartu sits at 55.8 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 6, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less.

"aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)"

NOAA SWPC, G1 Minor, Kp = 5

The nearest other Glow towns are Viljandi (66 km), Slantsy (114 km), Kohtla-Järve (117 km). Viljandi sits 0.2 degrees higher on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

Every night of 2026 at Tartu has some civil darkness; the shortest month sample still has 2.8 hours. Glow's dark season, at least 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00, runs from July 16 to May 26 across New Year, 315 days in 2026. Tartu's longest night of the year, Dec 18, has 15 h 44 min of civil night.

Solar midnight at Tartu, when the sun is lowest, falls at 00:08 on local clocks on December 15 and 01:13 on June 15. That is 8 min after midnight in December and 1 h 13 min after midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Tartu the darkest hour sits near the middle of SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window in winter.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan15.1 h85%2.3 h
Feb13.1 h80%2.6 h
Mar10.8 h69%3.3 hbest
Apr8.0 h65%2.8 h
May5.1 h58%2.1 h
Jun2.8 h65%1.0 h
Jul4.0 h63%1.5 h
Aug6.9 h63%2.6 h
Sep9.7 h67%3.2 h
Oct12.3 h77%2.8 h
Nov14.5 h86%2.0 h
Dec15.7 h86%2.2 h

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Tartu with 15.7 hours of civil night and June the lightest at 2.8. Across the year Tartu gets 3,576 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Tartu, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 12.3 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Tartu at 72% across the year, from 58% in May to 86% in November. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Tartu averages 73%, against a median of 74% for Glow towns in Estonia.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives March the best score, 3.3 hours, ahead of September at 3.2. Tartu's equinox months score 3.3 in March and 3.2 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

From 1996 to 2025, the GFZ Potsdam record shows a 3-hour Kp of 6 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge over Tartu, on 3% of days. At Tartu's level the share runs from 1% in December to 5% in October, while storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 10%.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 6. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 2, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 26, in Europe/Tallinn dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Tartu have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 6 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Tartu has 11 h 11 min of civil night, 1 h 4 min of it with the moon down.

  1. 2

    58% lit

    1.1 h

  2. 3

    47% lit

    2.5 h

  3. 4

    35% lit

    4.2 h

  4. 5

    25% lit

    6.0 h

  5. 6

    16% lit

    7.7 h

  6. 7

    9% lit

    9.3 h

  7. 8

    4% lit

    10.8 h

  8. 9

    1% lit

    11.8 h

  9. 10

    0% lit

    11.8 h

  10. 11

    2% lit

    11.9 h

  11. 12

    5% lit

    12.0 h

  12. 13

    10% lit

    12.1 h

  13. 14

    17% lit

    12.2 h

  14. 15

    25% lit

    12.3 h

  15. 16

    33% lit

    11.5 h

  16. 17

    43% lit

    10.3 h

  17. 18

    52% lit

    8.9 h

  18. 19

    62% lit

    7.5 h

  19. 20

    71% lit

    6.1 h

  20. 21

    79% lit

    4.7 h

  21. 22

    87% lit

    3.3 h

  22. 23

    93% lit

    1.8 h

  23. 24

    98% lit

    0.3 h

  24. 25

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  25. 26

    99% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 27

    96% lit

    0.0 h

  27. 28

    90% lit

    0.0 h

  28. 29

    81% lit

    0.1 h

  29. 30

    72% lit

    1.4 h

  30. 31

    61% lit

    3.1 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within Estonia

Among the 6 Glow towns in Estonia, Tartu ranks 6th by dipole latitude against a national median of 56.3 degrees; Tallinn sits highest at 57.1. On December 15 Tartu gets 15.7 hours of civil night, 4th longest of 6 in Estonia, where the median is 15.8.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Tartu?
Tartu sits at 55.8 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 6, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less. Clear, dark sky over Tartu still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Tartu?
Every night at Tartu has civil darkness. Tonight has 11 h 11 min, and December 15 has 15.7 hours.
What is the best month for aurora in Tartu?
March, by civil night at Tartu times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Tartu in the dark months?
About 73% mean cloud amount over Tartu in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Tartu?
A 3-hour Kp of 6 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge overhead, occurred on 3% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record.