Yamalo-Nenets, Russia
Northern lights in Gubkinskiy
Answer
Tonight
Waiting on darkness
It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below.
Observed 11:49 UTC, forecast 13:20 UTC, 91 min lead
Clock times in Asia/Yekaterinburg
Storm level needed
Gubkinskiy sits at 64.43N 76.50E in Yamalo-Nenets, Russia. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Gubkinskiy at 56.2 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 8.2 degrees farther from the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Gubkinskiy sits at 56.2 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 5, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less.
"aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)"
The nearest other Glow towns are Tarko-Sale (81 km), Muravlenko (120 km), Noyabrsk (148 km). Tarko-Sale sits 0.4 degrees higher on the dipole and needs the same Kp.
Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched
The year in darkness
From May 16 to July 26 the sun never reaches -6 degrees, so 72 nights in 2026 have no civil darkness at all. SWPC puts it plainly: "It must also be dark so during the summer months at auroral latitudes, the midnight sun prevents auroral observations." Glow's dark season, at least 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00, runs from August 9 to May 3 across New Year, 268 days in 2026. Gubkinskiy's longest night of the year, Dec 21, has 17 h 8 min of civil night.
Solar midnight at Gubkinskiy, when the sun is lowest, falls at 23:49 on local clocks on December 15 and 23:54 on June 15. That is 11 min before midnight in December and 6 min before midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Gubkinskiy the darkest hour sits near the middle of SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window in winter.
Month by month
| Month | Night | Civil | Cloud | Clear dark | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 16.2 h | 12.1 h | 64% | 5.8 h | |
| Feb | 13.5 h | 9.8 h | 61% | 5.3 h | |
| Mar | 10.5 h | 6.4 h | 67% | 3.5 h | |
| Apr | 6.8 h | 0.0 h | 67% | 2.2 h | |
| May | 0.6 h | 0.0 h | 75% | 0.1 h | |
| Jun | 0.0 h | 0.0 h | 67% | 0.0 h | |
| Jul | 0.0 h | 0.0 h | 65% | 0.0 h | |
| Aug | 5.1 h | 0.0 h | 72% | 1.4 h | |
| Sep | 9.2 h | 4.4 h | 76% | 2.2 h | |
| Oct | 12.4 h | 8.7 h | 87% | 1.6 h | |
| Nov | 15.4 h | 11.5 h | 73% | 4.2 h | |
| Dec | 17.1 h | 12.8 h | 64% | 6.2 hbest |
By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Gubkinskiy with 17.1 hours of civil night and June the lightest at 0.0. Across the year Gubkinskiy gets 3,258 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Gubkinskiy, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 12.8 hours on December 15.
NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Gubkinskiy at 70% across the year, from 61% in February to 87% in October. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Gubkinskiy averages 70%, against a median of 77% for Glow towns in Russia.
Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives December the best score, 6.2 hours, ahead of January at 5.8. Gubkinskiy's equinox months score 3.5 in March and 2.2 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.
Kp history
From 1996 to 2025, the GFZ Potsdam record shows a 3-hour Kp of 5 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge over Gubkinskiy, on 10% of days. At Gubkinskiy's level the share runs from 5% in December to 14% in September, while storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 10%.
Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 5. Kp history by year
Moon, next 30 nights
Over the 30 nights from Oct 2, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 26, in Asia/Yekaterinburg dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Gubkinskiy have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 7 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Gubkinskiy has 11 h 3 min of civil night, 0 min of it with the moon down.
- 2
59% lit
0.0 h
- 3
47% lit
0.0 h
- 4
36% lit
2.5 h
- 5
26% lit
4.9 h
- 6
17% lit
6.9 h
- 7
9% lit
8.8 h
- 8
4% lit
10.6 h
- 9
1% lit
11.8 h
- 10
0% lit
11.9 h
- 11
2% lit
12.0 h
- 12
5% lit
12.1 h
- 13
10% lit
12.2 h
- 14
17% lit
12.3 h
- 15
24% lit
12.4 h
- 16
33% lit
12.5 h
- 17
42% lit
12.6 h
- 18
51% lit
11.0 h
- 19
61% lit
8.8 h
- 20
70% lit
7.1 h
- 21
79% lit
5.4 h
- 22
87% lit
3.8 h
- 23
93% lit
2.1 h
- 24
97% lit
0.3 h
- 25
100% lit
0.0 h
- 26
99% lit
0.0 h
- 27
96% lit
0.0 h
- 28
91% lit
0.0 h
- 29
83% lit
0.0 h
- 30
73% lit
0.0 h
- 31
62% lit
1.5 h
Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.
Within Russia
Among the 8 Glow towns in Yamalo-Nenets, Gubkinskiy ranks 6th by dipole latitude against a regional median of 57.1 degrees; Labytnangi sits highest at 59.1. Among the 77 Glow towns in Russia, Gubkinskiy ranks 63rd by dipole latitude against a national median of 57.3 degrees; Nikel sits highest at 65.7. On December 15 Gubkinskiy gets 17.1 hours of civil night, 29th longest of 77 in Russia, where the median is 16.7.
Questions
- Can you see the northern lights in Gubkinskiy?
- Gubkinskiy sits at 56.2 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 5, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less. Clear, dark sky over Gubkinskiy still decides it.
- When is it dark enough in Gubkinskiy?
- Civil night, the sun at -6 degrees or lower, is missing from May 16 to Jul 26. Tonight has 11 h 3 min of it.
- What is the best month for aurora in Gubkinskiy?
- December, by civil night at Gubkinskiy times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
- How cloudy is Gubkinskiy in the dark months?
- About 70% mean cloud amount over Gubkinskiy in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
- How often is activity high enough for Gubkinskiy?
- A 3-hour Kp of 5 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge overhead, occurred on 10% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record.
Nearby and related
Nearest Glow towns
Gubkinskiy by month
Region and comparisons