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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

Yamalo-Nenets, Russia

Northern lights in Muravlenko

Answer

Muravlenko's OVATION cell reads 0% for 13:20 UTC. It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
0%
OVATION cell 64°N, 75°E
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:49 UTC

Tonight

Waiting on darkness

It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below.

OVATION cell
0%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 64°N, 75°E
Observed 11:49 UTC, forecast 13:20 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Not dark yet
Civil dusk 18:15, civil dawn 05:28
SunCalc at 63.7898, 74.5230
Clock times in Asia/Yekaterinburg
Cloud
n/a
Not used (outside the US): NWS covers US coordinates only, and Glow uses no substitute feed.
api.weather.gov gridpoints
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Muravlenko sits at 63.79N 74.52E in Yamalo-Nenets, Russia. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Muravlenko at 55.7 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 8.1 degrees farther from the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Muravlenko sits at 55.7 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 6, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less.

"aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)"

NOAA SWPC, G1 Minor, Kp = 5

The nearest other Glow towns are Noyabrsk (80 km), Gubkinskiy (120 km), Tarko-Sale (200 km). Noyabrsk sits 0.7 degrees lower on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

From May 19 to July 24 the sun never reaches -6 degrees, so 67 nights in 2026 have no civil darkness at all. SWPC puts it plainly: "It must also be dark so during the summer months at auroral latitudes, the midnight sun prevents auroral observations." Glow's dark season, at least 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00, runs from August 7 to May 5 across New Year, 272 days in 2026. Muravlenko's longest night of the year, Dec 21, has 16 h 57 min of civil night.

Solar midnight at Muravlenko, when the sun is lowest, falls at 23:57 on local clocks on December 15 and 00:02 on June 15. That is 3 min before midnight in December and 2 min after midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Muravlenko the darkest hour sits near the middle of SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window in winter.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan16.1 h66%5.5 h
Feb13.4 h60%5.4 h
Mar10.6 h68%3.4 h
Apr6.9 h69%2.1 h
May1.9 h74%0.5 h
Jun0.0 h69%0.0 h
Jul0.0 h66%0.0 h
Aug5.3 h71%1.6 h
Sep9.2 h77%2.1 h
Oct12.4 h88%1.5 h
Nov15.3 h76%3.7 h
Dec16.9 h67%5.6 hbest

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Muravlenko with 16.9 hours of civil night and June the lightest at 0.0. Across the year Muravlenko gets 3,277 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Muravlenko, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 12.7 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Muravlenko at 71% across the year, from 60% in February to 88% in October. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Muravlenko averages 71%, against a median of 77% for Glow towns in Russia.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives December the best score, 5.6 hours, ahead of January at 5.5. Muravlenko's equinox months score 3.4 in March and 2.1 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

From 1996 to 2025, the GFZ Potsdam record shows a 3-hour Kp of 6 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge over Muravlenko, on 3% of days. At Muravlenko's level the share runs from 1% in December to 5% in October, while storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 10%.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 6. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 2, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 26, in Asia/Yekaterinburg dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Muravlenko have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 7 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Muravlenko has 11 h 4 min of civil night, 0 min of it with the moon down.

  1. 2

    59% lit

    0.0 h

  2. 3

    47% lit

    0.0 h

  3. 4

    36% lit

    2.8 h

  4. 5

    26% lit

    5.0 h

  5. 6

    17% lit

    7.0 h

  6. 7

    9% lit

    8.8 h

  7. 8

    4% lit

    10.6 h

  8. 9

    1% lit

    11.8 h

  9. 10

    0% lit

    11.9 h

  10. 11

    2% lit

    12.0 h

  11. 12

    5% lit

    12.1 h

  12. 13

    10% lit

    12.2 h

  13. 14

    17% lit

    12.3 h

  14. 15

    24% lit

    12.4 h

  15. 16

    33% lit

    12.5 h

  16. 17

    42% lit

    12.6 h

  17. 18

    51% lit

    10.6 h

  18. 19

    61% lit

    8.7 h

  19. 20

    70% lit

    7.0 h

  20. 21

    79% lit

    5.3 h

  21. 22

    87% lit

    3.7 h

  22. 23

    93% lit

    2.1 h

  23. 24

    97% lit

    0.4 h

  24. 25

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  25. 26

    99% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 27

    96% lit

    0.0 h

  27. 28

    91% lit

    0.0 h

  28. 29

    83% lit

    0.0 h

  29. 30

    73% lit

    0.0 h

  30. 31

    62% lit

    1.8 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within Russia

Among the 8 Glow towns in Yamalo-Nenets, Muravlenko ranks 7th by dipole latitude against a regional median of 57.1 degrees; Labytnangi sits highest at 59.1. Among the 77 Glow towns in Russia, Muravlenko ranks 73rd by dipole latitude against a national median of 57.3 degrees; Nikel sits highest at 65.7. On December 15 Muravlenko gets 16.9 hours of civil night, 34th longest of 77 in Russia, where the median is 16.7.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Muravlenko?
Muravlenko sits at 55.7 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 6, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less. Clear, dark sky over Muravlenko still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Muravlenko?
Civil night, the sun at -6 degrees or lower, is missing from May 19 to Jul 24. Tonight has 11 h 4 min of it.
What is the best month for aurora in Muravlenko?
December, by civil night at Muravlenko times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Muravlenko in the dark months?
About 71% mean cloud amount over Muravlenko in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Muravlenko?
A 3-hour Kp of 6 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge overhead, occurred on 3% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record.