Can you see the northern lights in Mirnyy in January?

On dark, clear nights with enough activity. 31 of 31 nights at Mirnyy have civil darkness, and 21% of past January days reached Kp 4.

How dark is Mirnyy in January?

Mirnyy averages 15.7 hours of civil night a night in January 2027, from 16 h 30 min on the 1st to 14 h 42 min on the last night.

How cloudy is Mirnyy in January?

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 climatology gives Mirnyy's 1 degree cell 79% mean cloud in January, against 76% for the whole year. It is an all-hours average, not a forecast.

What is the best night in January 2027 for aurora in Mirnyy?

By darkness and moon alone, Jan 1, with 4 h of moon-free darkness inside 10 PM to 2 AM at Mirnyy. Activity on that date will only be known hours ahead.

Is January or February better in Mirnyy?

By civil night times the clear share, January scores 3.3 hours at Mirnyy and February 3.2. January comes out ahead.

Mirnyy · January 2027

Northern lights in Mirnyy in January 2027

Answer

January gives Mirnyy 15.8 hours of civil night on the 15th, the 2nd darkest of its 12 months, under 79% mean cloud. 21% of January days since 1996 reached Kp 4, enough for the oval edge to reach Mirnyy.

15.7 h

civil night, average night

SunCalc for 62.76, 40.34; NASA POWER; GFZ Kp

January against the rest of the year

3.3

3.2

2.6

2.2

1.0

0.0

1.8

2.2

1.5

2.7

January cloud at Mirnyy averages 79% in NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 record, 3 points cloudier than its yearly mean. July is Mirnyy's clearest month at 65%. That makes January the best month of Mirnyy's year by civil night times clear sky, 3.3 hours. Arkhangel'sk, 198 km away, averages the same 79%.

Civil night at Mirnyy starts January at 16 h 30 min and reaches 14 h 42 min by January 31, 1.8 hours shorter. SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window is fully dark on every night. True astronomical darkness, the sun 18 degrees down, lasts 12.0 hours on the 15th.

January night by night

January opens toward a new moon on Jan 7, with full moon on Jan 22, in Europe/Moscow dates. Mirnyy gets 277 hours of civil night with the moon below the horizon across the month. The best of them for moon-free darkness inside 10 PM to 2 AM: Jan 1 (4 h), Jan 2 (4 h), Jan 3 (4 h).

1
30% lit
12.6 h
2
21% lit
14.3 h
3
14% lit
16.3 h
4
8% lit
16.4 h
5
4% lit
16.4 h
6
1% lit
16.3 h
7
0% lit
16.3 h
New
8
1% lit
16.2 h
9
4% lit
15.8 h
10
8% lit
14.1 h
11
14% lit
12.6 h
12
21% lit
11.0 h
13
30% lit
9.5 h
14
40% lit
7.9 h
15
50% lit
6.2 h
16
61% lit
4.4 h
17
72% lit
2.3 h
18
81% lit
0.1 h
19
90% lit
0.0 h
20
96% lit
0.0 h
21
99% lit
0.0 h
22
100% lit
0.0 h
Full
23
97% lit
0.7 h
24
92% lit
2.5 h
25
85% lit
4.3 h
26
76% lit
5.9 h
27
66% lit
7.6 h
28
56% lit
9.3 h
29
46% lit
11.0 h
30
36% lit
12.9 h
31
27% lit
14.7 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Activity in past Januarys

Mirnyy needs Kp 4 for the average oval edge to sit overhead. 196 of the 930 January days from 1996 to 2025 (21%) reached it in the GFZ Potsdam record, one of the three quietest months for that level; storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 6%. Mirnyy sits at 58.1 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 4, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less.

January across Russia

Mirnyy ranks 24th in Russia for civil night on January 15, behind Norilsk at 17.7 hours. Coming from December (16.6 hours at Mirnyy), January loses darkness, and February brings shorter nights (13.4 hours on the 15th).

Civil night on January 15 and January cloud, month-page towns in Russia
Town	Civil night	Cloud
Norilsk	17.7 h	55%
Talnakh	17.7 h	55%
Kayyerkan	17.7 h	56%
Dudinka	17.7 h	56%
Zapolyarnyy	17.7 h	81%
Nikel	17.7 h	81%
Severomorsk	17.6 h	83%
Murmansk	17.5 h	78%
Monchegorsk	17.2 h	75%
Olenegorsk	17.2 h	78%
Apatity	17.1 h	75%
Narian-Mar	17.1 h	70%
Mirnyy	15.8 h	79%

Darkness and moon, every night

Mirnyy, January 2027: each night from local noon to the next noon
Night	Civil	Astronomical	Moon-free dark	Moon-free, 10 PM to 2 AM	Moon lit
Fri Jan 1	16 h 30 min	12 h 33 min	12 h 34 min	4 h	30%
Sat Jan 2	16 h 28 min	12 h 31 min	14 h 19 min	4 h	21%
Sun Jan 3	16 h 26 min	12 h 30 min	16 h 17 min	4 h	14%
Mon Jan 4	16 h 24 min	12 h 28 min	16 h 24 min	4 h	8%
Tue Jan 5	16 h 22 min	12 h 26 min	16 h 22 min	4 h	4%
Wed Jan 6	16 h 19 min	12 h 24 min	16 h 19 min	4 h	1%
Thu Jan 7	16 h 17 min	12 h 22 min	16 h 17 min	4 h	0%
Fri Jan 8	16 h 14 min	12 h 20 min	16 h 14 min	4 h	1%
Sat Jan 9	16 h 11 min	12 h 18 min	15 h 45 min	4 h	4%
Sun Jan 10	16 h 8 min	12 h 16 min	14 h 7 min	4 h	8%
Mon Jan 11	16 h 5 min	12 h 13 min	12 h 33 min	4 h	14%
Tue Jan 12	16 h 2 min	12 h 11 min	11 h 2 min	4 h	21%
Wed Jan 13	15 h 58 min	12 h 8 min	9 h 30 min	3 h 4 min	30%
Thu Jan 14	15 h 55 min	12 h 5 min	7 h 55 min	1 h 30 min	40%
Fri Jan 15	15 h 51 min	12 h 2 min	6 h 14 min	0 min	50%
Sat Jan 16	15 h 48 min	12 h	4 h 22 min	0 min	61%
Sun Jan 17	15 h 44 min	11 h 56 min	2 h 19 min	0 min	72%
Mon Jan 18	15 h 40 min	11 h 53 min	5 min	0 min	81%
Tue Jan 19	15 h 36 min	11 h 50 min	0 min	0 min	90%
Wed Jan 20	15 h 32 min	11 h 47 min	0 min	0 min	96%
Thu Jan 21	15 h 28 min	11 h 43 min	0 min	0 min	99%
Fri Jan 22	15 h 23 min	11 h 40 min	0 min	0 min	100%
Sat Jan 23	15 h 19 min	11 h 36 min	39 min	0 min	97%
Sun Jan 24	15 h 15 min	11 h 32 min	2 h 31 min	0 min	92%
Mon Jan 25	15 h 10 min	11 h 29 min	4 h 16 min	0 min	85%
Tue Jan 26	15 h 5 min	11 h 25 min	5 h 56 min	54 min	76%
Wed Jan 27	15 h 1 min	11 h 21 min	7 h 35 min	2 h 35 min	66%
Thu Jan 28	14 h 56 min	11 h 17 min	9 h 15 min	4 h	56%
Fri Jan 29	14 h 51 min	11 h 13 min	10 h 59 min	4 h	46%
Sat Jan 30	14 h 46 min	11 h 8 min	12 h 52 min	4 h	36%
Sun Jan 31	14 h 42 min	11 h 4 min	14 h 42 min	4 h	27%

Moon lit: SunCalc illuminated fraction at the middle of the 10 PM to 2 AM window.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Mirnyy in January?: On dark, clear nights with enough activity. 31 of 31 nights at Mirnyy have civil darkness, and 21% of past January days reached Kp 4.
How dark is Mirnyy in January?: Mirnyy averages 15.7 hours of civil night a night in January 2027, from 16 h 30 min on the 1st to 14 h 42 min on the last night.
How cloudy is Mirnyy in January?: NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 climatology gives Mirnyy's 1 degree cell 79% mean cloud in January, against 76% for the whole year. It is an all-hours average, not a forecast.
What is the best night in January 2027 for aurora in Mirnyy?: By darkness and moon alone, Jan 1, with 4 h of moon-free darkness inside 10 PM to 2 AM at Mirnyy. Activity on that date will only be known hours ahead.
Is January or February better in Mirnyy?: By civil night times the clear share, January scores 3.3 hours at Mirnyy and February 3.2. January comes out ahead.

Sources and verification

SunCalchttps://github.com/mourner/suncalc
NASA POWER climatologyhttps://power.larc.nasa.gov/docs/services/api/temporal/climatology/
GFZ Potsdam Kp indexhttps://kp.gfz.de/en/data
NOAA SWPC, Tips on viewing the aurorahttps://www.spaceweather.gov/content/tips-viewing-aurora

Quoted figures last checked against their sources on 2026-09-30; next review 2026-12-31. Computed figures come from SunCalc and the IGRF-14 dipole as described in the methodology. Every quote is listed in the sources ledger.