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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

England, United Kingdom

Northern lights in Bramhall

Answer

Bramhall's OVATION cell reads 0% for 13:20 UTC. It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
0%
OVATION cell 53°N, 2°W
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:49 UTC

Tonight

Waiting on darkness

It is not civil-dark yet. The next dusk is listed below.

OVATION cell
0%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 53°N, 2°W
Observed 11:49 UTC, forecast 13:20 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Not dark yet
Civil dusk 19:17, civil dawn 06:38
SunCalc at 53.3580, -2.1654
Clock times in Europe/London
Cloud
n/a
Not used (outside the US): NWS covers US coordinates only, and Glow uses no substitute feed.
api.weather.gov gridpoints
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Bramhall sits at 53.36N 2.17W in England, United Kingdom. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Bramhall at 55.5 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 2.1 degrees closer to the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Bramhall sits at 55.5 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 6, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less.

"aurora is commonly visible at high latitudes (northern Michigan and Maine)"

NOAA SWPC, G1 Minor, Kp = 5

The nearest other Glow towns are Macclesfield (11 km), Manchester, England (14 km), High Peak (21 km). Macclesfield sits 0.1 degrees lower on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

Every night of 2026 at Bramhall has some civil darkness; the shortest month sample still has 5.1 hours. Every evening of the year at Bramhall clears Glow's dark-season bar of 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00. Bramhall's longest night of the year, Dec 17, has 14 h 57 min of civil night.

Solar midnight at Bramhall, when the sun is lowest, falls at 00:04 on local clocks on December 15 and 01:09 on June 15. That is 4 min after midnight in December and 1 h 9 min after midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Bramhall the darkest hour sits near the middle of SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window in winter.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan14.4 h82%2.6 h
Feb12.8 h79%2.7 hbest
Mar10.9 h76%2.6 h
Apr8.6 h73%2.3 h
May6.5 h72%1.8 h
Jun5.1 h75%1.3 h
Jul5.8 h75%1.4 h
Aug7.8 h77%1.8 h
Sep10.1 h75%2.5 h
Oct12.1 h78%2.7 h
Nov14.0 h81%2.7 h
Dec14.9 h82%2.7 h

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Bramhall with 14.9 hours of civil night and June the lightest at 5.1. Across the year Bramhall gets 3,733 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Bramhall, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 12.0 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Bramhall at 77% across the year, from 72% in May to 82% in January. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Bramhall averages 77%, against a median of 77% for Glow towns in United Kingdom.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives February the best score, 2.7 hours, ahead of December at 2.7. Bramhall's equinox months score 2.6 in March and 2.5 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

From 1996 to 2025, the GFZ Potsdam record shows a 3-hour Kp of 6 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge over Bramhall, on 3% of days. At Bramhall's level the share runs from 1% in December to 5% in October, while storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 10%.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 6. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 2, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 26, in Europe/London dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Bramhall have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 6 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Bramhall has 11 h 15 min of civil night, 2 h 7 min of it with the moon down.

  1. 2

    57% lit

    2.1 h

  2. 3

    46% lit

    3.5 h

  3. 4

    34% lit

    5.0 h

  4. 5

    24% lit

    6.5 h

  5. 6

    15% lit

    8.0 h

  6. 7

    8% lit

    9.4 h

  7. 8

    3% lit

    10.9 h

  8. 9

    1% lit

    11.7 h

  9. 10

    0% lit

    11.8 h

  10. 11

    2% lit

    11.9 h

  11. 12

    6% lit

    11.9 h

  12. 13

    11% lit

    12.0 h

  13. 14

    18% lit

    11.9 h

  14. 15

    26% lit

    11.2 h

  15. 16

    34% lit

    10.3 h

  16. 17

    43% lit

    9.3 h

  17. 18

    53% lit

    8.1 h

  18. 19

    62% lit

    6.8 h

  19. 20

    72% lit

    5.5 h

  20. 21

    80% lit

    4.3 h

  21. 22

    88% lit

    3.0 h

  22. 23

    94% lit

    1.6 h

  23. 24

    98% lit

    0.3 h

  24. 25

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  25. 26

    99% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 27

    95% lit

    0.0 h

  27. 28

    89% lit

    0.0 h

  28. 29

    81% lit

    1.0 h

  29. 30

    71% lit

    2.2 h

  30. 31

    60% lit

    3.7 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within United Kingdom

Among the 63 Glow towns in England, Bramhall ranks 42nd by dipole latitude against a regional median of 55.7 degrees; Carlisle sits highest at 57.1. Among the 106 Glow towns in United Kingdom, Bramhall ranks 84th by dipole latitude against a national median of 56.2 degrees; Isle of Lewis sits highest at 60.8. On December 15 Bramhall gets 14.9 hours of civil night, 81st longest of 106 in United Kingdom, where the median is 15.0.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Bramhall?
Bramhall sits at 55.5 degrees geomagnetic. By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead at Kp 6, and aurora is usually visible on the northern horizon at G1 (Kp 5) or less. Clear, dark sky over Bramhall still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Bramhall?
Every night at Bramhall has civil darkness. Tonight has 11 h 15 min, and December 15 has 14.9 hours.
What is the best month for aurora in Bramhall?
February, by civil night at Bramhall times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Bramhall in the dark months?
About 77% mean cloud amount over Bramhall in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Bramhall?
A 3-hour Kp of 6 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge overhead, occurred on 3% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record.
Why does this page point to Manchester, England?
Bramhall sits within 15 km of Manchester, England with the same rounded dipole latitude, Kp and dark season, so Glow treats Manchester, England as the main page for both.