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Checking the NOAA OVATION feed

British Columbia, Canada

Northern lights in Victoria

Answer

Victoria's OVATION cell reads 0% for 13:20 UTC. Civil darkness has begun. OVATION is a model of the next 30 to 90 minutes, not a sighting.
0%
OVATION cell 48°N, 123°W
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast, observed 11:49 UTC

Tonight

Darkness window open

Civil darkness has begun.

OVATION cell
0%
OVATION 30 to 90 minute forecast
Cell 48°N, 123°W
Observed 11:49 UTC, forecast 13:20 UTC, 91 min lead
Darkness
Dark now
Civil dusk 19:23, civil dawn 06:43
SunCalc at 48.4359, -123.3515
Clock times in America/Vancouver
Cloud
n/a
Not used (outside the US): NWS covers US coordinates only, and Glow uses no substitute feed.
api.weather.gov gridpoints
CivilNauticalAstronomicalMoon up while dark10 PM to 2 AM

Storm level needed

Victoria sits at 48.44N 123.35W in British Columbia, Canada. The IGRF-14 centered dipole puts Victoria at 53.7 degrees geomagnetic latitude, 5.3 degrees closer to the magnetic pole than its map latitude suggests. Victoria sits at 53.7 degrees geomagnetic. The lowest NOAA storm level whose typical viewing latitude reaches it is G3 (Kp = 7). By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead only at Kp 7.

"aurora has been seen as low as Illinois and Oregon (typically 50° geomagnetic lat.)"

NOAA SWPC, G3 Strong, Kp = 7

The nearest other Glow towns are Saanich (13 km), Bellingham (73 km), Delta (76 km). Saanich sits 0.1 degrees higher on the dipole and needs the same Kp.

Approximate: SWPC calls its Kp to latitude rule an average, and a centered dipole can differ by a degree from fuller field models. How the storm level is matched

The year in darkness

Civil twilightNautical twilightAstronomical nightMoon up in darkness10 PM to 2 AM, SWPC best windowToday

Every night of 2026 at Victoria has some civil darkness; the shortest month sample still has 6.4 hours. Every evening of the year at Victoria clears Glow's dark-season bar of 4 hours of civil night between 18:00 and 06:00. Victoria's longest night of the year, Dec 19, has 14 h 22 min of civil night.

Solar midnight at Victoria, when the sun is lowest, falls at 01:09 on local clocks on December 15 and 01:14 on June 15. That is 1 h 9 min after midnight in December and 1 h 14 min after midnight in June, the gap set by daylight saving and the equation of time. So at Victoria the darkest hour sits late in SWPC's 10 PM to 2 AM window.

Month by month

Civil night on the 15th, mean cloud amount, and civil night times the clear share (the best month is marked)
MonthNightCivilCloudClear dark
Jan13.9 h83%2.4 h
Feb12.6 h76%3.0 h
Mar10.9 h79%2.3 h
Apr9.1 h73%2.5 h
May7.3 h67%2.4 h
Jun6.4 h64%2.3 h
Jul6.9 h44%3.9 h
Aug8.4 h46%4.5 h
Sep10.3 h54%4.7 hbest
Oct12.0 h70%3.6 h
Nov13.6 h79%2.9 h
Dec14.3 h83%2.4 h

By the 15th-of-the-month sample, December is the darkest month at Victoria with 14.3 hours of civil night and June the lightest at 6.4. Across the year Victoria gets 3,822 hours of civil night. Astronomical night at Victoria, the sun 18 degrees or more below the horizon, lasts 11.8 hours on December 15.

NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology puts mean cloud amount for the 1 degree cell around Victoria at 68% across the year, from 44% in July to 83% in January. In the months with at least 4 hours of civil night Victoria averages 68%, against a median of 67% for Glow towns in Canada.

Multiplying civil night by the clear share of the sky gives September the best score, 4.7 hours, ahead of August at 4.5. Victoria's equinox months score 2.3 in March and 4.7 in September, the weeks SWPC links with larger storms.

Kp history

From 1996 to 2025, the GFZ Potsdam record shows a 3-hour Kp of 7 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge over Victoria, on 1% of days. At Victoria's level the share runs from 0% in February to 2% in October, while storm days with Kp 5 or more made up 10%.

Share of UTC days in each calendar month whose highest 3-hour Kp reached Kp 7. Kp history by year

Moon, next 30 nights

Over the 30 nights from Oct 1, the new moon falls on Oct 10 and the full moon on Oct 25, in America/Vancouver dates. 15 of the 30 nights at Victoria have at least 2 moon-free dark hours inside 10 PM to 2 AM, and Oct 5 has the most at 4 h. Tonight Victoria has 11 h 14 min of civil night, 2 h of it with the moon down.

  1. 1

    64% lit

    2.0 h

  2. 2

    53% lit

    3.1 h

  3. 3

    42% lit

    4.5 h

  4. 4

    31% lit

    5.9 h

  5. 5

    21% lit

    7.3 h

  6. 6

    13% lit

    8.6 h

  7. 7

    6% lit

    10.0 h

  8. 8

    2% lit

    11.3 h

  9. 9

    0% lit

    11.7 h

  10. 10

    1% lit

    11.8 h

  11. 11

    3% lit

    11.8 h

  12. 12

    7% lit

    11.9 h

  13. 13

    13% lit

    11.6 h

  14. 14

    20% lit

    11.0 h

  15. 15

    28% lit

    10.3 h

  16. 16

    37% lit

    9.3 h

  17. 17

    46% lit

    8.3 h

  18. 18

    56% lit

    7.2 h

  19. 19

    65% lit

    6.0 h

  20. 20

    74% lit

    4.8 h

  21. 21

    83% lit

    3.6 h

  22. 22

    90% lit

    2.5 h

  23. 23

    95% lit

    1.2 h

  24. 24

    99% lit

    0.0 h

  25. 25

    100% lit

    0.0 h

  26. 26

    98% lit

    0.0 h

  27. 27

    94% lit

    0.0 h

  28. 28

    87% lit

    0.7 h

  29. 29

    78% lit

    1.8 h

  30. 30

    68% lit

    3.1 h

Each cell is the night that starts on that date. Hours are civil-dark time with the moon below the horizon; the green rule scales with them. Green outline: new moon. Bone outline: full moon.

Within Canada

Among the 19 Glow towns in British Columbia, Victoria ranks 19th by dipole latitude against a regional median of 55.2 degrees; Fort St. John sits highest at 61.7. Among the 130 Glow towns in Canada, Victoria ranks 104th by dipole latitude against a national median of 55.3 degrees; Yellowknife sits highest at 68.5. On December 15 Victoria gets 14.3 hours of civil night, 54th longest of 130 in Canada, where the median is 14.2.

Questions

Can you see the northern lights in Victoria?
Victoria sits at 53.7 degrees geomagnetic. The lowest NOAA storm level whose typical viewing latitude reaches it is G3 (Kp = 7). By SWPC's rule the average oval edge is overhead only at Kp 7. Clear, dark sky over Victoria still decides it.
When is it dark enough in Victoria?
Every night at Victoria has civil darkness. Tonight has 11 h 14 min, and December 15 has 14.3 hours.
What is the best month for aurora in Victoria?
September, by civil night at Victoria times the clear share of the sky from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 average.
How cloudy is Victoria in the dark months?
About 68% mean cloud amount over Victoria in the months with at least 4 hours of civil night, from NASA POWER's 2001 to 2020 all-hours climatology.
How often is activity high enough for Victoria?
A 3-hour Kp of 7 or more, the level that puts the average oval edge overhead, occurred on 1% of days from 1996 to 2025 in the GFZ Potsdam record.